New publication: Taking a bet on risk

Posted on 31st March 2015

James Painter(2015) Taking a bet on risk Nature Climate Change 5, 286–288 doi:10.1038/nclimate2542 Introduction In the light of its potential benefits, some scientists have been using the concept of risk to frame their discussions of climate change. At the moment, the media hardly pick up on risk language, so can anything be done to encourage […]

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New publication: A Dynamical Systems Explanation of the Hurst Effect and Atmospheric Low-Frequency Variability

Posted on 18th March 2015

Christian L. E. Franzke, Scott M. Osprey, Paolo Davini & Nicholas W. Watkins (2015) A Dynamical Systems Explanation of the Hurst Effect and Atmospheric Low-Frequency Variability Scientific Reports 5, Article number: 9068 doi:10.1038/srep09068 Abstract The Hurst effect plays an important role in many areas such as physics, climate and finance. It describes the anomalous growth […]

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New publication: Reconciling spatial and temporal soil moisture effects on afternoon rainfall

Posted on 13th March 2015

Benoit P. Guillod, Boris Orlowsky, Diego G. Miralles, Adriaan J. Teuling & Sonia I. Seneviratne (2015) Reconciling spatial and temporal soil moisture effects on afternoon rainfall Nature Communications doi:10.1038/ncomms7443 Abstract Soil moisture impacts on precipitation have been strongly debated. Recent observational evidence of afternoon rain falling preferentially over land parcels that are drier than the […]

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New publication: Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events

Posted on 9th March 2015

A. Hannart, J. Pearl, F. E. L. Otto, P. Naveau, M. Ghil (2015) Causal counterfactual theory for the attribution of weather and climate-related events Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00034.1 Abstract The emergence of clear semantics for causal claims and of a sound logic for causal reasoning is relatively recent, with the consolidation over […]

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New publication: The greening of Arabia: Multiple opportunities for human occupation of the Arabian Peninsula during the Late Pleistocene inferred from an ensemble of climate model simulations

Posted on 9th March 2015

Richard P. Jennings, Joy Singarayer, Emma J. Stone, Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Vyacheslav Khon, Kerim H. Nisancioglu, Madlene Pfeiffer, Xu Zhang, Adrian Parker, Ash Parton, Huw S. Groucutt, Tom S. White, Nick A. Drake, Michael D. Petraglia (2015) The greening of Arabia: Multiple opportunities for human occupation of the Arabian Peninsula during the Late Pleistocene inferred from […]

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