New paper: Extreme events: The art of attribution

Posted on 29th March 2016

Otto, F.E.L. (2016) Extreme events: The art of attribution, Nature Climate Change 6, 342–343 doi:10.1038/nclimate2971 A high-impact weather event that occurred at the end of a decade of weather extremes led to the emergence of extreme event attribution science. The challenge is now to move on to assessing the actual risks, rather than simply attributing […]

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New paper: Calibrating Climate-Change Time-Slice Projections With Estimates of Seasonal Forecast Reliability

Posted on 29th March 2016

Matsueda, M., Weisheimer, A., Palmer, T. N. (2016) Calibrating Climate-Change Time-Slice Projections With Estimates of Seasonal Forecast Reliability Journal of Climate doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0087.1 Abstract In earlier work, it was proposed that the reliability of climate-change projections, particularly of regional rainfall, could be improved if such projections were calibrated using quantitative measures of reliability obtained by […]

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The magmatic and eruptive response of arc volcanoes to deglaciation: Insights from southern Chile

Posted on 25th March 2016

Harriet Rawson, David M. Pyle, Tamsin A. Mather, Victoria C. Smith, Karen Fontijn, Stefan M. Lachowycz, and José A. Naranjo (2016) The magmatic and eruptive response of arc volcanoes to deglaciation: Insights from southern Chile, Geology, doi:10.1130/G37504.1 Abstract In tectonic settings where decompression melting drives magmatism, there is compelling evidence that changes in ice loading […]

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New publication: Challenges in constraining anthropogenic aerosol effects on cloud radiative forcing using present-day spatiotemporal variability

Posted on 25th March 2016

Steven Ghan, Minghuai Wang, Shipeng Zhang, Sylvaine Ferrachat, Andrew Gettelman, Jan Griesfeller, Zak Kipling, Ulrike Lohmann, Hugh Morrison, David Neubauer, Daniel G. Partridge, Philip Stier, Toshihiko Takemura, Hailong Wang, and Kai Zhang (2016) Challenges in constraining anthropogenic aerosol effects on cloud radiative forcing using present-day spatiotemporal variability PNAS doi:10.1073/pnas.1514036113 Abstract A large number of processes […]

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New publication: The signature of low-frequency oceanic forcing in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation

Posted on 25th March 2016

O’Reilly, C. H., M. Huber, T. Woollings, and L. Zanna (2016), The signature of low-frequency oceanic forcing in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL067925. Abstract The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) significantly influences the climate of the surrounding continents and has previously been attributed to variations in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Recently, […]

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