Implications of event attribution for loss and damage policy

Hannah R. Parker, Rosalind J. Cornforth, Emily Boyd, Rachel James, Friederike E. L. Otto and Myles R. Allen (2015) Implications of event attribution for loss and damage policy Weather, 70, 268–273 DOI: 10.1002/wea.2542

Abstract

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) has established the Warsaw International Mechanism (WIM) to deal with loss and damage associated with climate change impacts, including extreme events, in developing countries. It is not yet known whether events will need to be attributed to anthropogenic climate change to be considered under the WIM. Attribution is possible for some extreme events – a climate model assessment can estimate how greenhouse gas emissions have affected the likelihood of their occurrence. Dialogue between scientists and stakeholders is required to establish whether, and how, this science could play a role in the WIM.